Publications of The RAND Corporation

804. An Appreciation for Analysis for Military Decisions, B-90 (January 19, 1959). About 600 pp. Blueline copy.
805. The Exploration of the Future, Translated by R. Neiswender, Paper P-3540 (February 1967). 30 pp.
806. Armer, Paul, Computer Aspects of Technological Change, Automation, and Economic Progress, Paper P-3478 (1966).
807. Armer, Paul, Social implications of the Computer Utility, Paper P-3642 (August 1967). 16 pp.
808. Baran, Paul, Some Changes in Information Technology Affecting Marketing in the Year 2000, Paper P-3717 (July 1968). 34 pp.
809. Bell, Chauncey F., Cost-Effectiveness Analysis as a Management Tool, Paper P-2988 (October 1968). 52 pp.
810. Bellman, Richard, Simulation and Stimulation, Paper P-1591 (December 17, 1958). i + 13 pp.
811. Bellman, Richard, The Theory of Games, Paper P-1062 (April 15, 1967). ii + 19 pp.
812. Berkovitz, L. D., The Implications for Some Game-Theoretic Analyses for War Gaming, Paper P-2072 (August 25, 1960). iii + 14 pp.
813. Berman, Edward B., Toward a New Weapon System Analysis, Paper P-1493 (September 23, 1958). 14 pp.
814. Bohnert, R. G, The Logical Structure of the Utility Concept, Paper P-331 (September 29, 1952). 20 pp.
815. Boldyreff, Alexander W., Systems Engineering, Paper P-537 (June 16, 1954). ii + 12 pp.
816. Bradley, B. D., R. E. Clapp, and R. L. Petruschell, A New Cost Model To Support Air Force Long-Range Planning, Paper P-3133 (May 1965). 21 pp.
817. Brewer, Garry D., Gaming: Prospective for Forecasting, Paper P-5178 (February 1974). vii + 43 pp.
818. Brodie, Bernard, Scientific Progress and Political Science, Paper P-968 (Revised November 30, 1956). i + 20 pp.
819. Brodie, Bernard, The American Scientific Strategists, Paper P-2979 (October 1964). 53 pp.
820. Brown, Thomas A., Probabilistic Forecasts and Reproducing Scoring Systems, Research Memorandum RM-6299-ARPA (June 1970). vii + 58 pp.
821. Chapman, Robert L., Systems Research and Personnel Management, Paper P-443 (October 23, 1953). 17 pp.
822. Clement, George H., Weapon System Philosophy, Paper P-880 (July 27, 1956). 19 pp.
823. Cohen, Joel E., Social Research among the Estates of Science, Paper P-3927 (February 1969). 29 pp.
824. Collbohm, F. R., “Scientific Aids to Decision Making: A Perspective,” General Management Series; No. 187 (New York: American Management Association, 1957). Six pages.
825. Dalkey, N. C., and Olaf Helmer, The Use of Experts for the Estimation of Bombing Requirements: A Project Delphi Experiment, Research Memorandum RM-727-PR (November 14, 1951). 33 pp.
826. Dalkey, N. C., and Olaf Helmer, An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts, Research Memorandum RM-727-PR (abridged) (July 1962). vii + 17 pp.
827. Dalkey, N. C., Olaf Helmer, and F. B. Thompson, Report on a Preliminary Systems Analysis for Strategic Targets, Research Memorandum RM-1011 (January 1, 1953). ii + 89 pp.
828. Dalkey, N. C., Solvable Nuclear War Models, Research Memorandum RM-4009-PR (April 1964). vii + 15 pp.
829. Dalkey, N. C., Games and Simulations, Paper P-2901 (April 1964). v + 17 pp.
830. Dalkey, N. C., Families of Models, Paper P-3198 (August 1965). 31pp.
831. Dalkey, N. C., Central Nuclear War Games, Paper P-3437 (September 1966). 11pp.
832. Dalkey, N. C., Simulation of Military Conflict, Paper P-3400 (January 1967). 20 pp.
833. Dalkey, N. C., Operations Research, Paper P-3705 (October 1967). 35 pp.
834. Dalkey, N. C., B. Brown, and S. Cochran, The Delphi Method, III: Use of Self-Ratings To Improve Group Estimates, Research Memorandum RM-6115-PR (November 1969). vii + 21 pp.
835. Davison, W. Phillips, Some Observations On the Role of Research in Political Warfare, Paper P-226 (Revised October 1, 1951). 30 pp.
836. Denny, Brewster C., and Emmanuel C. Mesthene, Science and Statecraft, Paper P-2462-1 (January 1962). i + 14 pp.
837. Dewar, James A., Carl H. Builder, William M. Hix, and Morlie H. Levin, Assumption-Based Planning: A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times, Prepared for the U.S. Army (1993). xviii + 78 pp.
838. Dewar, James A., and Morlie H. Levin, Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21, Report R-4172-A (1992). xi +70 pp.
839. DeWeerd, H. A., Political-Military Scenarios, Paper P-3535 (Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation, February 1967). 14 pp.
840. DeWeerd, H. A., A Contextual Approach to Scenario Construction, Paper P-5084 (September 1973). 11 pp.
841. Digby, James F., An Electronic Engineer’s View of Operations Research, Paper P-1254 (May 13, 1958). 11pp.
842. Dole, S. H., G. H. Fisher, E. D. Harris, and J. String, Jr., Establishment of a Long-Range Planning Capability, Research Memorandum RM-6151-NASA (September 1969). xiv + 107 pp.
843. Dordick, H.S., An Introduction to System Effectiveness, Paper P-3237 (October 1965). 8 pp.
844. Dresher, Melvin, Some Military Applications of the Theory of Games, Paper P-1849 (December 10, 1959). 15pp.
845. Dror, Yehezkel, Futures in Government, Paper P-3909 (August 1968). 14 pp.
846. Dror, Yehezkel, “Specialists” vs. “Generalists”- A Mis-Question, Paper P-3997 (December 1968). 10 pp.
847. Dror, Yehezkel, Some Normative implications of a Systems View of Policymaking, Paper P-3991-1 (February 1969). iii + 22 pp.
848. Dror, Yehezkel, The Prediction of Political Feasibility, Paper P-4044 (April 1969). 19 pp.
849. Dror, Yehezkel, Systems Analysis for Development Decisions: Applicability, Feasibility, Effectiveness and Efficiency, Paper P-4159 (August 1969). 27 pp.
850. Dror, Yehezkel, Analytic Approaches and Applied Social Sciences, Paper P-4248 (November 1969). 26 pp.
851. Dror, Yehezkel, Alternative Domestic Political Futures: Research Needs and Research Design, Paper P-4306 (February 1970). 17 pp.
852. Ellsberg, Daniel, The Crude Analysis of Strategic Choices. Paper P-2183 (December 15, 1960). ii + 11 pp.
853. Ellsberg, Daniel, Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms, Paper P-2173 (August 1961). ix + 33 pp.
854. Ellsberg, Daniel, The Theory and Practice of Blackmail, Paper P-3883 (July 1968). iii + 38 pp.
855. Emerson, D. E., A Note on Handling Uncertainly in Force-Structure Studies, Paper P-4017 (February 1969). 9 pp.
856. Enos, John L., An Analytic Model of Political Allegiance and Its Application to the Cuban Revolution, Paper P-3197 (August 1965). 34 pp.
857. Enthoven, Alain, and Henry Rowen, Defense Planning and Organization, Paper P-1640 (Revised July 28, 1959). 78 pp.
858. Feigenbaum, E. A., Computer Simulation of Human Behavior, Paper P-2905 (May 1964). 14 pp.
859. Fisher, G.H., A Discussion of Uncertainty in Cost Analysis, Research Memorandum RM-3071-PR (April 1962). vii +28 pp.
860. Fisher, G.H., Analytical Support for Defense Planning, Paper P-2650 (October 1962). 6 pp.
861. Fisher, G.H., Some Comments on Systems Analysis, Paper P-3677 (September 1967), 17 pp.
862. Fisher, G.H., The Nature of Uncertainty, Paper P-5133 (November 1973). 8 pp.
863. Fort, Donald M., Systems Analysis as an Aid in Air Transportation Planning, Paper P-3293-1 (March 1966). 42 pp.
864. Geisler, Murray A., Use of Simulation in Analysing System Responsiveness of Complex Systems, S-93 (August 19, 1958). iii + 25 pp.
865. Geisler, Murray A., Simulation Techniques, Paper P-1808 (September 4, 1959). 9 pp.
866. Geisler, Murray A., Development of Man-Machine Simulation Techniques, Paper P-1945 (March 17, 1960). ii + 16 pp.
867. Geisler, Murray A., and Wilbur A. Steger, The Combination of Alternative Research Techniques in Logistics Systems Analysis. Paper P-2660 (November 1962).
868. Glennan, Thomas K., Jr., The Usefulness of Aerospace Management Techniques in Other Sectors of the Economy, Paper P-2927 (June 1964).
869. Goldhamer, Herbert, Human Factors in Systems Analysis, Research Memorandum RM-388 (April 15, 1950). 29 pp.
870. Goldhamer, Herbert, and Hans Speier, “Some Observations on Political Gaming”, World Politics, Vol. 12, No. 1 (October 1959), pp. 71-83. Reprint.
871. Goldstein, J. R., Scientific Aids to Decisionmaking – A Perspective, Paper P-1042 (March 19, 1957). 12 pp.
872. Gordon, T. J., and Olaf Helmer, Report on a Long-Range Forecasting Study, Paper P-2982 (September 1964). xi +45 pp.
873. Greene, Terrell E., and Jon H. Huntzicker, Simulation Techniques for Analyzing Air Combat Systems, Paper P-3818 (May 1968). 20 pp.
874. Hammond, Paul Y., Foreign Policymaking: Pluralistic Politics or Unitary Analysis? Paper P-2961-1 (February 1965). 33 pp.
875. Haythorn, W. W., Human Factors in Systems Research, Paper P-2337 (June 7, 1961). 32 pp.
876. Hearle, Edward F. R., “How Useful Are ‘Scientific’ Tools of Management’?” Public Administration Review, Vol, XXI, No. 4 (Autumn 1961), pp. 206-209.
877. Hederman, William F., Jr., Assessing Technology Assessment, Paper P-5391 (February 1975). iii + 37 pp.
878. Helmer, Olaf, and Nicholas Rescher, On the Epistemology of the Inexact Sciences, Report R-353 (February 1960). Stiff card covers. vii + 40 pp.
879. Helmer, Olaf, Strategic Gaming, Paper P-1902 (February 10, 1960). ii + 19 pp.
880. Helmer, Olaf, Gaming the Strategic Planning Process, Research Memorandum RM-2905-PR (November 1961). v +15 pp.
881. Helmer, Olaf, and E. S. Quade, An Approach to the Study of a Developing Economy by Operational Gaming, Paper P-2718 (March 1963). 23 pp.
882. Helmer, Olaf. Social Technology, Paper P-3063 (February 1965). 40 pp.
883. Helmer, Olaf, The Use of the Delphi Technique in Problems of Educational Innovation, Paper P-3499 (December 1966). 22 pp.
884. Helmer, Olaf, New Developments in Early Forecasting of Public Problems: A New Intellectual Climate, Paper P-3576 (April 1967). 10 pp.
885. Helmer, Olaf, Methodology of Societal Studies, Paper P-3611 (June 1967). 5 pp.
886. Helmer, Olaf, Prospects of Technological Progress, Paper P-3643 (August 1967). 14 pp.
887. Hitch, Charles J., Sub-Optimization in Operations Problems, with a “mathematical note” by A. W. Marshall, Paper P-326 (November 18, 1952). 24 pp.
888. Hitch, Charles J., An Appreciation of Systems Analysis, Paper P-699 (Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation, August 18, 1955, revised). Card covers. 25 pp.
889. Hitch, Charles J., “An Appreciation of Systems Analysis,” Journal of the Operations Research Society of America. Vol. 3. No. 4 (November 1955), pp. 466-481. Reprint.
890. Hitch, Charles J., Professor Koopman on Fallacies—A Comment, Paper P-870 (May 21, 1956). i + 7 pp.
891. Hitch. Charles J., The Role of Quantitative Analysis in Allocating the Defense Budget, S-64 (September 1957). i + 13 pp.
892. Hitch, Charles J., “Operations Research and National Planning–A Dissent,” Operations Research. Vol. 5, No. 5 (October 1957). pp. 718-723. Reprint.
893. Hitch. Charles J., Economics and Military Operations Research, Paper P-1250 (January 8, 1958). 25 pp.
894. Hitch, Charles J., A Further Comment on Economics and Operations Research, Paper P-1758 (July 22, 1959). 4 pp.
895. Hitch, Charles J., On the Choice of Objectives in Systems Studies, Paper P-1955 (March 30, 1960), 13 pp.
896. Hitch, Charles J., Uncertainties in Operations Research, Paper P-1959 (April 25, 1960). 13 pp.
897. Hoag, Malcolm W., An Introduction to Systems Analysis, Research Memorandum RM-1678 (April 18, 1956). ii + 21 pp.
898. Hoag, Malcom W., What Is a System? Paper P-1035 (March 5, 1957). 6 pp.
899. Hoag, Malcolm W., Operations Research- A New Science? Paper P-1030 (Revised July 1957).
900. Hoag, Malcolm W., Defense Economics in Action in America, Paper P-3811 (March 1968). iii + 34 pp.
901. Iklé, Fred Charles, Social Forecasting and the Problem of Changing Values, With Special Reference to Soviet and East European Writings, Paper P-4550 (January 1971). 11 pp.
902. Jones, William M., Factional Debates and National Commitments: The Multidimensional Scenario, Research Memorandum RM-5259-ISA (March 1967). ix + 34 pp.
903. Jordan, N., Decision-Making under Uncertainty and Problem Solving: A Gestalt Theoretical Viewpoint, Paper P-2156 (December 1, 1960). 38 pp.
904. Jordan, N., Some Thinking about “System,” Paper P-2166 (December 30, 1960). 31 pp.
905. Kahn, Herman, Use of Different Monte Carlo Sampling Techniques, Paper P-766 (November 30, 1955). 40 pp.
906. Kahn, Herman, and Irwin Mann, Techniques of Systems Analysis, Research Memorandum RM-1829-1 (December 3, 1956; revised June 1957). xiv + 161 pp.
907. Kahn, Herman, and Irwin Mann, Monte Carlo, Paper P-1165 (July 30, 1957). 28 pp.
908. Kahn, Herman, and Irwin Mann, Game Theory, Paper P-1166 (July 30, 1957). iii + 65 pp.
909. Kahn, Herman, and Irwin Mann, War Gaming, Paper P-1167 (July 30, 1957). 14 pp.
910. Kahn, Herman, and Irwin Mann, Ten Common Pitfalls, Research Memorandum RM-1937 (July 17, 1957). ix + 55 pp.
911. Kaplan, A., The Concept of Military Worth, Research Memorandum RM-37 (May 7, 1948). 38 pp.
912. Kecskemeti, P., Utilization of Social Research in Shaping Policy Decisions, Paper P-2289 (April 24, 1961). 14 pp.
913. Kent. A. I., Non-Military Applications of Operations Research, Paper P-526 (May 14, 1954). 19 pp.
914. Kershaw, Joseph A., Economic Considerations for the Next Decade (August 1961). 11 pp.
915. Klein, Burton, and William Meckling, Application of Operations Research to Development Decisions, Paper P-1054 (Revised March 3, 1958). 19 pp.
916. Knorr, Klaus, On the Cost-Effectiveness Approach to Military R&D: A Critique, Paper P-3390 (June 1966). 10 pp.
917. Lowry, Ira S., A Short Course in Model Design, Paper P-3114 (April 1965). 28 pp.
918. Maron, M. E., Computer and Our Future, Paper P3501 (December 1966). 10 pp.
919. Marschak, T. A., The Role of Project Histories in the Study of R&D, Paper P-2850 (January 1964). vii + 119 pp.
920. Marshall, A. W., Cost/Benefit Analysis in Health, Paper P-3274 (December 1965). 18 pp.
921. McGarvey, David, Problems of Force Posture Evaluation, Paper P-2138 (October 15, 1960). 17 pp.
922. McKean, Roland N., Sub-Optimization Criteria and Operations Research, Paper P-386 (April 22, 1953). 20 pp.
923. McKean, Roland N., Sub-Optimization Criteria and Operations Research, Paper P-386A (March 31, 1953). 3 pp.
924. Mesthene, Emmanuel G., and S. MacClintock, The Nature of Research Goals: Some Necessary Definitions, Research Memorandum RM-2858-PR (January 1962). vii + 25 pp.
925. Mesthene, Emmanuel G., Can Only Scientists Make Government Science Policy? (April 1964). 14 pp.
926. Mood, Alexander M., War Gaming as a Technique of Analysis, Paper P-899 (September 3, 1954). 13 pp.
927. Mood, Alexander M., and R. D. Specht, Gaming as a Technique of AnaIysis, Paper P-579 (October 19, 1954). 14 pp.
928. Moore, Frederick T., Operations Research on Urban Problems, Paper P-3414 (June 1966). 9 pp.
929. Morrison, Peter A., Current Demographic Trends and Federal Policy: An Overview, Note N-2020-NICHD (August 1983). vi + 16 pp.
930. Nelson, Richard R., The Link between Science and Invention: The Case of the Transistor, Paper P-1854-RC (December 15, 1959). 54 pp.
931. Nelson, Richard R., The Efficient Achievement of Rapid Technological Progress - A Major New Problem in Public Finance, Paper P-3286 (December 1965). iii + 14 pp.
932. Nelson, Richard R., Big Technology, the Technology Gap, and a Dangerous Policy Pitfall, Paper P-3795 (March 1968). 18 pp.
933. Northrop, G. M., Use of Multiple On-Line, Time-Shared Computer Consoles in Simulation and Gaming, Paper P-3606 (June 1967). 59 pp.
934. Novick, David, What Do We Mean by “Research and Development”? Paper P-1779 (August 25, 1959). 47 pp.
935. Novick, David, “What Do We Mean by ‘Research and Development’?” Illinois Business Review (November 1959), pp. 6-8.
936. Novick, David, “What Do We Mean by Research and Development?” California Management Review, Vol. 2, No. 3 (Spring 1960), pp. 9-24. In card cover.
937. Novick, David, “What Do We Mean by Research and Development?” Air Force Magazine (October 1960). 3 pp.
938. Novick, David, “New Tools for Planners and Programmers.” The Executive, Harvard University Graduate School of Business Administration (1961), 4 pp. Reprint.
939. Novick, David, Resource Analysis and Long-Range Planning, Research Memorandum RM-3658-PR (June 1963). v + 22 pp.
940. Novick, David, “The Federal Budget as an Economic Document,” Statement before the Subcommittee on Economic Statistics of the Joint Economic Committee of the United States, April 1963. Reprint of the Hearings. pp. 52-62.
941. Novick, David, Separating Research from Research and Development, Paper P-2907 (May 1964). 8 pp.
942. Paxson, E. W., War Gaming, Research Memorandum RM-3489-PR (February 1963). iii + 35 pp.
943. Press, S. James, and Alvin J. Harman, Methodology for Subjective Assessment of Technological Advancement, Report R-1375 (April 1975). xi + 104 pp.
944. Quade, E. S., Pitfalls in Analysis, Paper P-1694 (February 6, 1959). 15 pp.
945. Quade, E. S., Pitfalls in Military Systems Analysis, Paper P-2676 (November 1962). 12 pp.
946. Quade, E. S., Military Systems Analysis, Research Memorandum RM-3452-PR (January 1963). v + 29 pp.
947. Quade, E. S., The Limitations of a Cost-Effectiveness Approach to Military Decision-Making, Paper P-2798 (September 1963). v + 12 pp.
948. Quade, E. S., Cost-Effectiveness: An Introduction and Overview, Paper P-3134 (May 1965). 19 pp.
949. Quade, E. S., Some Problems Associated with Systems Analysis, Paper P-3391 (June 1966). 21 pp.
950. Quade, E. S., Cost-Effectiveness: Some Trends in Analysis, Paper P-3529 (March 1967). 18 pp.
951. Quade, E. S., The Systems Approach and Public Policy, Paper P-4053 (March 1969). 29 pp.
952. Quade, E. S., An Extended Concept of “Model.” Paper P-4427 (July 1970). 13 pp,
953. Riker, William H., and Lloyd S. Shapley, Weighted Voting: A Mathematical Analysis for Instrumental Judgments, Paper P-3318 (March 1966). 33 pp.
954. Robinson, Thomas W., Systems Theory and the Communist Orbit, Paper P-3812 (March 1968). 68 pp.
955. Sackman, H., Toward More Effective Use of Expert Opinion: Preliminary Investigation of Participatory Polling for Long-Range Planning, Paper P-5570 (October 1976). vii + 81 pp.
956. Schlesinger, James R., Analysis and Defense in the Sixties, Paper P-3050 (January 1965). 6 pp.
957. Schlesinger, James R., The Changing Environment for Systems Analysis, Paper P-3287 (December 1965). 34 pp.
958. Schlesinger, James R., On Relating Non-Technical Elements to System Studies, Paper P-3545 (February 1967). 34 pp.
959. Schlesinger, James R., Systems Analysis and the Political Process, Paper P-3464 (June 1967). 31 pp.
960. Shapley, L. S., Utility Comparison and the Theory of Games, Paper P-3582 (April 1967). 14 pp.
961. Shapley, L. S., N-Person Game Theory, Paper P-3752 (January 1968). 16 pp.
962. Social Science Division, Experimental Research on Political Gaming, Paper P-1540-RC (November 10, 1958). 18 pp.
963. Specht, Robert D., War Games, Paper P-1041 (March 18, 1957). ii + 19 pp.
964. Steger, Wilbur A., The Use of Gaming and Simulation Devices in Business, Paper P-1219 (November 20, 1957). 6 pp.
965. Stoller, David S., “The Growth of Operations Research in Italy.” Operations Research, Vol. 11, No. 4 (July-August 1963), pp. 653-658.
966. Sumner, G. C., Sampling Methods: Suggestions for Military Cost Analysts, Research Memorandum RM-5779-PR (October 1968). ix + 83 pp.
967. Tenzer, A. J., Systems Analysis and the Certified Public Accountant, Paper P-3739 (December 1967). 18 pp.
968. Thompson, Frederick B., New Currents in an Old Stream, Paper P-306 (July 2, 1952). 10 pp.
969. Weiner, M. G., War Gaming Methodology, Research Memorandum RM-2413 (July 10, 1959). v + 103 pp.
970. Weiner, M. G., Gaming Limited War, Paper P-2123 (October 27, 1960). 12 pp.
971. Weiner, M. G., The Use of War Games in Command and Control Analysis, Paper P-2466 (October 1961). 12 pp.
972. Weiner, M. G., The Role of Operations Research in Planning for Limited War, Paper P-2654 (October 1962). 15 pp.
973. Whitehead, Clay Thomas, Uses and Limitations of Systems Analysis, Paper P-3683 (September 1967). 182 pp.
974. Wohl, Martin, Another View of Transport System Analysis, Paper P-3785 (February 1968). 47 pp.
975. Wohlstetter, A. J., Systems Analysis Versus Systems Design, Paper P-1530 (October 29, 1958). v + 59 pp.
976. Wohlstetter, A. J., Defense Decisions: Design vs. Analysis, abstract of paper presented at the Second International Conference on Operational Research, France, September 1960. 6 pp.
977. Wolf, Charles, Jr., The Present Value of the Past, Paper P-4067 (April 1969). 15 pp.
978. Zwick, Charles J., Systems Analysis and Urban Planning, Paper P-2754 (June 1963). 14 pp.